Research on Evaluation Method of the Reliability of Phased-mission of Equipment System Based on Agent Simulation  
Author Shang-ru Teng


Co-Author(s) Hai-dong Du; Jin-mao Guo


Abstract This paper, aiming at the features of phased-mission of complicated materiel system and disadvantages of traditional solutions to phased-mission reliability, puts forward a modeling method on phased-mission reliability of weapon system based on Bayes network and proposes agent simulation tactics of phasedmission system reliability based on CHMMS model. This paper first describes the failure process of multiple failure modes in phased-mission. Then, it proposes a modeling method on phasedmission system reliability based on mix-states dynamic Bayesian networks (DBN) and puts forward simulation analysis theory of phased-mission system reliability based on CHMMS model; Finally, combined with typical assault mission profile of a certain ground equipment, the effectiveness of this method is verified and simulation puts out dynamic change law of reliability and importance in phased-mission system.


Keywords phased-mission system, reliability, Bayes, simulation
    Article #:  22407
Proceedings of the 22nd ISSAT International Conference on Reliability and Quality in Design
August 4-6, 2016 - Los Angeles, California, U.S.A.